Listen to the optimists, and the AI-driven economic boom is at the doorstep. The Penn Wharton Budget Model projects AI will add 1.5% to GDP and productivity over the next decade. Goldman Sachs says it could add up to three percentage points to productivity every year. By the mid-2030s, AI might increase work output by 20%, according to Vanguard.
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“When I say ‘zero,’ I mean zero workers—as in factory [or] machine jobs … Regular working people,” Miessler said, will be out of a job in the AI boom. There may be “[a] few rock-star generalist managers,” he added, but they, too, might soon become obsolete, working to manage their AI counterparts “until superintelligence. But that’s not even worth commenting on, because who knows what that world looks like?”